by Mara Vilcu

(Reuters) – Wall Street is expected to be in the green on Monday and European stock markets are advancing at mid-session, while signs of easing trade tensions between China and the United States encourage investors, marking a promising start to the week, dominated by central bank meetings and the results of mega-caps.

Futures on New York indices signal an opening increase of 0.54% for the Dow Jones, 0.89% for the Standard & Poor’s-500 and 1.31% for the Nasdaq.

In Paris, the CAC 40 gained 0.10% to 8,233.52 points around 11:06 GMT. In Frankfurt, the Dax rose by 0.08% and in London, the FTSE 100 rose by 0.01%.

The EuroStoxx 50 index is up 0.51%, the FTSEurofirst 300 is up 0.15% and the Stoxx 600 is up 0.12%.

At the start of the week, all eyes are on the commercial front. US President Donald Trump said on Sunday he was confident of reaching a deal with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, whom he is expected to meet in South Korea on Thursday, after senior officials from the two countries reached a preliminary consensus on trade talks.

The deal could fend off China’s expanded export controls on rare earths and magnets and avert the U.S. threat of new 100 percent tariffs on Chinese goods, Scott Bessent said on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

“Investors will want to see confirmation that the trade truce is holding and that China’s stimulus and reform signals are translating into tangible growth momentum,” said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo.

George Boubouras, managing director of K2 Asset Management, said markets were happy with the dynamics between the United States and China in recent days. “Over the past few months, markets have followed global customs negotiations, aware that some comments may be theater and media noise,” he said.

Furthermore, the tenant of the White House is due to arrive in Tokyo on Monday, the second stop of his tour, where he will meet the Japanese emperor as well as the newly elected Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, with whom he will discuss trade, investments and defense spending.

This week is also marked by central bank meetings in Japan, Canada, Europe and the United States.

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points after the release of data showing US consumer prices rose slightly less than expected in September. However, the shutdown and its impact on data remains a concern.

The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) are both expected to keep rates unchanged this week. The BOJ is expected to debate whether to resume rate hikes as fears of a tariff-induced recession ease, but political complications could push it to maintain the status quo for now.

And the busiest period of US earnings season is fast approaching, with giants Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon and Meta Platforms all due to report results this week.

VALUES TO FOLLOW AT WALL STREET [L8N3W80IR]

VALUES IN EUROPE

Exosens advances by 4.11%. The group reported on Monday a turnover up 23.2% over the first nine months of the year, citing “favorable dynamics in defense end markets”.

Schneider Electric, helped by an increase in recommendation from Morgan Stanley, advances by 1.79%.

Elsewhere in Europe, HSBC lost 1.04%, the British bank having announced on Monday that it would record a provision of 1.1 billion dollars in its third quarter results after losing part of its appeal in a trial in Luxembourg linked to the pyramid fraud orchestrated by the American financier Bernard Madoff.

RATE

US yields are rising.

The yield on ten-year Treasuries increased by 2.5 basis points to 4.0218%. The two-year rose by 1.7 basis points to 3.5010%.

The ten-year German Bund yield gained 0.8 basis points to 2.6326%. The two-year rose 1.1 basis points to 1.9896%.

CHANGES

The greenback is in small decline, after six days of growth against the yen and three days of decline against the euro, as investors prepare for a week full of central bank meetings and trade negotiations.

The dollar lost 0.13% against a basket of reference currencies.

The euro gained 0.12% to 1.1639 dollars.

OIL

Oil prices are falling after rising earlier in the day as U.S. and Chinese economic officials outlined the outlines of a trade deal, allaying fears that tariffs and export restrictions between the world’s two biggest oil consumers could hurt global economic growth.

Brent fell 0.97% to $65.30 per barrel and American light crude (West Texas Intermediate, WTI) fell 1.07% to $60.84.

METALS

Around 11:32 GMT, the spot gold price fell 1.99% to $4,029.89 per ounce with signs of easing trade tensions between the United States and China.

(Some data may have a slight lag)

(Written by Mara Vîlcu, edited by Augustin Turpin)

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