Opinion

The future is here: By 2050 all cars will drive themselves

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Since the 90s production cars have started to focus on autonomous driving functions – Today they are at level 3 of autonomous driving, out of a total of 5

THE autonomous driving began to preoccupy the human mind for decades. Since the 90s, production cars have started to focus on autonomous driving functions, to reach today some cars at the level of 3 of autonomous driving, out of the total 5 levels that exist.

We should not forget the first attempt at self-driving in 1995, when Carnegie Mellon University completed the first self-driving 4,500-kilometer US coastal drive with 98% of the journey performed via a computer located in a van near the self-driving vehicle . Of course, since then things have changed, technology has improved and significant developments have taken place, most notably when Tesla was founded in 2003.

Five years later, the Tesla Roadster hit the streets, and the years that followed the Roadster’s launch, revealed many autonomous technologies from the company. Tesla’s AutoPilot, for example, ushered in a new era in autonomous driving, but a number of accidents related to its operation have highlighted the system’s vulnerabilities.

According to a 2019 survey, US automotive and technology experts believe it will take 12 years for fully automated vehicles to start selling. Robotaxis, on the other hand, is slated to hit the roads for public use in 2025.

Given that the autonomous vehicle market will be worth around $400 billion in 2025, according to Statista, it is estimated that all vehicles on the road will be replaced with Level 5 by 2050. By 2030, sales of autonomous vehicles (all levels) are expected to reach 58 million units.

Partnerships between automakers and technology companies have continued to grow over the past two years, reflecting a determination to improve the autonomous vehicle industry and intense competition. Volkswagen and Bosch are developing Level 2 autonomous driving software, while Volvo and Luminar are trying to deliver LIDAR. In May 2022, Mercedes-Benz launched the Drive Pilot function for the S-Class and EQS at level 3, and it was authorized for use for 13,000 kilometers on German autobahns.

A 2020 public poll in the US showed that only 20% of people believe that autonomous vehicles will be safe, while for 48%, a taxi ride in a Level 5 vehicle is currently unthinkable. All this when most production cars have Level 2 autonomous functions and many of them have Level 3 technologies.

newsSkai.gr

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