poll: Derby for three for the leadership of KINAL

November 26, 2021

Robert

The internal elections of the Movement for Change for the election of a new president are evolving into a thriller, according to the big poll of SKAI and Pulse that was presented in the main news bulletin with Sia Kosioni.

The battle, as shown by the poll, seems to be fought between Andreas Loverdou, Nikos Androulakis and George Papandreou.

To the question “who would you prefer to be elected leader of KIN.AL” by those who declare their willingness to participate in the internal party elections, 34% “vote” for Andreas Loverdos, 25% for Nikos Androulakis, 23% for George Papandreou, 5% respectively for Pavlos Geroulanos and Haris Kastanidis and 4% for Pavlos Christidis. However, there is an error margin of 4.2%.

Read in detail the findings of the poll

To the same question, but to a sample of citizens who voted in July 2019 or intend to vote for a Movement for Change in the next elections, the winner is Nikos Androulakis with 30%, followed by Andreas Loverdos with 29%, while the trio is completed by George Papandreou with 21%. Pavlos Geroulanos, Haris Kastanidis and Pavlos Christidis are in much lower percentages with 5% and 4% respectively. Here, the margin of error is 4.1%.

Respectively, from the participants in the research who stated that they voted for a Movement for Change in July 2019 and / or intend to vote, and show a willingness to participate in the election of a new leader, 30% give a vote of confidence to Andreas Loverdos, 29% to Nikos Androulakis, 27% to George Papandreou, 5% to Pavlos Christidis, 4% to Pavlos Geroulanos and 3% to Haris Kastanidis.

Regarding the sample πwho voted for KIN.AL in the last national elections AND intend to vote for it again in the next ones and declare their willingness to participate in the internal party processes, the battle is ambiguous, with 30% stating that they prefer Andreas Loverdos for president of the faction, 29% George Papandreou and 28% Nikos Androulakis, while in 5% are Haris Kastanidis and Pavlos Christidis and in 2% Pavlos Geroulanos. It is noted that in this question the margin of error reaches 6.6%.

Second round

In addition, from those citizens declare their willingness to participate in the election of a new leader, depending on the “couples” that will pass to the 2nd round, state that they will vote as follows:

In case Andreas Loverdos-George Papandreou qualify in the 2nd round, 52% will vote for Loverdo and 39% for Papandreou.
In case Nikos Androulakis-Andreas Loverdos pass in the 2nd round, Nikos Androulakis emerges as the winner with 48%, followed by Loverdos with 42%.
In case George Papandreou and Nikos Androulakis are candidates in the 2nd round, the vast majority (56%) will support Nikos Androulakis against 32% of George Papandreou.

To the same question about the correlations of the second round, from those who voted KIN.AL. in 2019 and / or intend to vote on it, in case the “duo” Loverdou-Papandreou qualifies, 50% state that they will vote for Andrea Loverdo and 35% for the former prime minister. Respectively, in the scenario that Androulakis-Papandreou pass in the second round, 54% will support Nikos Androulakis and 29% George Papandreou, while if the final candidates are Androulakis-Loverdos, the voters will vote 47% in favor of Andros and 35% in favor of Loverdos.

In the sample of survey participants who stated that voted KIN.AL in July 2019 and / or plan to vote again and declare that they will take part in the election of a new leader, if Loverdos-Papandreou qualify in the second round, 50% will support the first and 42% the second. In the event that Androulakis-Loverdos pass, 53% reveal that they will support Androulakis and 34% Loverdos and in the event of Papandreou-Androulakis qualifying, 56% will vote for Androulakis and 35% for Papandreou.

Who can do better?

In a further investigation into which candidate can succeed in renewing the party, guaranteeing unity, while increasing repercussions and percentages and making substantial opposition, those who are definitely willing to participate in the process of electing a new president, cumulatively highlight the winner Andreas Loverdos. Nikos Androulakis follows and then George Papandreou. In detail, the percentages:

Among those who voted for the Movement for Change in the 2019 national elections and / or intend to vote again, to the question “who can do better”:

-to achieve the renewal of the party: 34% say Nikos Androulakis, 28% Andreas Loverdos, 19% George Papandreou, 4% Pavlos Geroulanos, 3% Pavlos Christidis and 2% Haris Kastanidis.

-to guarantee the unity of the party: 27% vote for Androulaki, 26% for Loverdo, 23% for Papandreou, 4% for Geroulanos and Kastanidis and 3% for Christidis.

-to increase repercussions and percentages: there is a tie between Androulaki and Loverdou at 28%, followed by Papandreou with 24%, Kastanidis with 3% and Geroulanos and Christidis with 2% respectively.

-to make a more substantial opposition: first with a difference is Loverdos with 33%, in second place is Androulakis with 25% and in third Papandreou with 21%.

In the sample of citizens who participated in the poll and state that voted in 2019 and / or will vote Movement for Change and will take part in the election of a new leader, the one who can best:

-to achieve the renewal of the party: 35% vote for Nikos Androulakis, 31% for Andreas Loverdo, 25% for George Papandreou, 3% for Pavlos Geroulanos and 2% for Pavlos Christidis and 2% for Haris Kastanidis.

-to guarantee the unity of the party: 30% believe that Loverdos and Papandreou can, 29% Androulakis, 4% Geroulanos, 3% Kastanidis and 2% Christidis.

-to increase repercussions and percentages: Loverdos leads with 32%, followed by Papandreou with 31% and Androulakis comes third with 30%.

-to make a more substantial opposition: Loverdos gets a vote of confidence with 37%, followed by Papandreou with 27% and then Androulakis with 26%.

Voter inputs and outputs

As for the new voters of the Movement for Change, which according to the latest poll by SKAI and Pulse on the intention to vote on the valid ones reaches 10%, 33% comes from ND, 32% from SYRIZA, 6% from Mera25, 4% from Elliniki Lysi, 2% from Chrysi Avgi, 7% from “other” party and 10% of those who had cast “white or invalid” or abstained from the election.

Finally, from the disintegrated voters of KIN.AL. of 2019, if next Sunday we had elections they state that they would vote ND at 47%, SYRIZA at 14%, 3% KKE, 2% Hellenic Solution and Mera25, 4% another party, while there is a “gray zone” of the order of 28% who are either undecided or would vote white / invalid / abstention.

The identity of the research

Pulse’s research is nationwide and was done by phone using a structured electronic questionnaire. The sample concerned 4,012 adults with the right to vote and took place between November 20-25, 2021.