By Antonis Anzoletou

The data that the parties currently have in front of them and based on which they move strategically are very specific and can be summarized in six points:

– Her overwhelming victory New Republic in the summer elections that left him behind SYRIZA almost 23 units.
– Predominance of the blue party in the regional and municipal elections, with big “wounds” the losses of Athens and Thessaloniki.
– Demographic supremacy of Piraeus similar to that of the last national ballot.
– Overturning the correlations regarding the position of the official opposition. The PASOK it has covered the difference of six points since last June and now shows in all surveys that it is ahead of SYRIZA by an average of two points.
– Fragmentation of the Left with the KKE to win several “points” from SYRIZA which also seems to be losing strength towards it New Leftthe Freedom of Navigation and MeRA25.
– A trend that prescribes the rise of far-right forces in the old continent and conditions that favor the rise of populist forces in Greece as well.

Safe conclusions in view of European elections no political space can produce, as the scene is changeable and fluid. As the center-left has split and the traditional dipole has disappeared, no one knows what might happen in the “right-wing apartment building”. That’s where New Democracy currently records the biggest leaks. This is evidenced by the rise of the Hellenic Solution by 1.5% within a month according to the latest Pulse poll. His party Kyriakos Velopoulos reached the vote estimate of 7.5% by pressuring the government on the same-sex couples bill. Clearly, the losses for the blue party in this particular political geographical area have a “ceiling” that is not very high. THE Kyriakos Mitsotakis he has set his sights on the “left of the centre-right”. His insistence, after all, on the bill for same-sex couples shows that he is more interested in not cutting the “umbilical cord” with the center that produces governments and in which he has dominated since 2019.

In relation to the fronts that the government has to face, it should be more concerned about the mobilization of the rural world where the New Democracy registers significant forces. In the student movement – especially the part that takes the lead in the occupations – they are well aware that Herodos Attikou is a “foreign” community to them.

For SYRIZA o Stefanos Kasselakis he has had enough time to talk about winning the European elections. The rhetoric has changed, as things have turned out to be a completely unrealistic goal. Any victory of Koumoundourou over Harilaou Trikoupi in about four months from today, even with a smaller percentage than that of the recent elections, will be considered a great success. And at the same time, it will give the president of SYRIZA the “ticket” for the 2027 elections. Unless things turn around by then. The “guide” of the developments will be the Congress of the party that will take place from February 23-25.

PASOK can show that it is consolidating in second place, however the fact that it cannot develop any momentum and get a safety margin from SYRIZA, more than 3-4 points, shows that the Nikos Androulakis he still has a long way to go. He is already starting to cast “nets” for alliances the day after the European elections, taking for granted that his party will “exterminate” SYRIZA and after 12 years will put an end to the narrative of the “governing left”. If you consider that in January 2015, PASOK finished in seventh place and with a percentage of 4.68% was in danger of being left out of Parliament, what is happening in Harilaou Trikoupi is a “small miracle”. Next Tuesday’s event, which dominates the news and causes daily reactions in SYRIZA and PASOK with the participation of Dionysis Tebonera, Manolis Christodoulakis and Efis Ahtsioglou, is also awaited with interest.