Stefanos Nikolaidis
The conversation around the casus belli her Turkey rejuvenated after prime minister’s statements Kyriakou Mitsotakis to TIFthat as long as the Anchor does not lift the threat of war, the Athens is not going to give the ‘green light’ to join the European Defense Mechanism SAFE.
However, the issue of expansion of terrace to Aegean, a topic for which Turkey raises the threat of Casus Belli, are more complexity and is not limited to Turkish factor.
As he explains in skai.gr Professor and Director of the Institute of International Affairs, Constantine Filisthere is one basic vulnerable point to Greek arguments: the disharmony between them 10 Nautical Miles of Airplane and of their 6 nautical miles of territorial waters.
“This should be harmonized, apparently upward rather than down», Notes characteristically, implying that logical move would be the extension of territorial waters in 10 miles.
Because the Aegean is not just a ‘Greek -Turkish affair’
The Aegean is a one closed sea associated with the Black Sea – also closed – and is gateway and transit toward rest of the world. This means that beyond the Greece and Turkeygreat forces such as the USAthe Russia, the United Kingdom and the Chinathey have vital interests in the area.
According to Mr. Filis, if Greece was moving on to universal extension in 12 milesthe international waters to Aegean would be drastically restricted, which would limit the navigation and would depend on the crossing exclusively by country permit.
“Today there may be a normal government, but tomorrow there may be a non -abnormal abuse of this situation“, Warns.
The proposal of the ‘corridors’
The solution, according to him, could be the Creating International Frequenions of Free Navigation in critical pointssuch as between Peloponnese and Crete and Between Kassos and Creteto ensure the support or at least the tolerance of megalist.
Although the Turkey keeps the casus belli for the extension of terraceMr Filis believes that the non -implementation of extension is not necessarily due to fear for Turkish reaction.
“The main reason is that such a magnificent act needs external legitimacy. If you do not have the support or tolerance of your partners and if their interests clash with your choice, then you will find yourself in international isolation“, He explains.
In other words, even if the Turkey did not activate the threatthe reaction her community – Because of commercial and military interest – could make the Greek energy minutes inactive.
‘Gray Zones’ and Safe
The issue is even more complicated because of sovereignty in islands and rocky islands. OR Anchor insists on raising the issue ‘gray zone»And ask for referral to Hague.
For Mr. Filis, this makes inconceivable its integration Turkey in European defense programs such as SAFEbefore there is clear and undisputed determination of border.
“Will I have Turkey to participate in a European border defense program that it does not recognize itself?“, Wonders.
Source: Skai
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