As Brazil disappears from world diplomacy, drowned in the sea of lies by Jair Bolsonaro, the international community began to respond to the geopolitical chaos caused by the invasion of Ukraine.
Led by a more active UN and a Turkey strengthened by its strategic regional role, the Ukrainian and Russian representatives signed, on Friday (22), the first agreement aimed at lifting the blockade of the Black Sea, one of the main vectors of the escalation in oil prices. that toppled governments, led to tightening monetary policies and heightened the risk of a global recession.
If the Russian Defense Minister and the Ukrainian Infrastructure Minister refused to sit at the same table, the reality is that Kiev and Moscow actively negotiated and signed identical documents.
Temporary, the pact aims to allow the movement of ships that have been paralyzed in Ukrainian ports since the beginning of the conflict and to free up grain stocks. On the other hand, Russian maritime movement, severely shaken by sanctions, will be facilitated. The deal would automatically renew four months from now if successful, which is far from guaranteed.
Although precarious and permanently threatened by the volatility of the war, the agreement goes down in history as the first concrete effort to rebuild relations between West and East in the post-Ukraine world. All parties seem to recognize that the dispute over territorial sovereignty is irreconcilable at the present time. Diplomacy put aside conflict resolution and began to look for devices to ensure international cooperation as the situation evolves on the battlefield.
Lula’s diplomatic team seems to have sensed the change in winds. More than containing the Bolsonarista hysteria, the articulation of a meeting of the candidate with the BRICS ambassadors, mentioned in this Sheet, seeks to position a future Brazilian government in this process. Led by a functional government, Brazil can play, at the scale of the Global South, the role that Turkey played this week.
The grain arrangement is just the first of the emergency diplomacy that is expected to become increasingly common in the coming months. The next big test will be COP27 in Cairo, when Washington and Beijing must show whether they are willing to continue the effort against global warming.
Then the world will stop to see how Europe and Russia will behave with the arrival of winter. Based on the Black Sea agreement, many will advocate a negotiation to prevent a complete interruption of energy cooperation. Otherwise, European capitals will be threatened by social instability, and Moscow will have to face a second economic shock after the one caused by the sanctions.
Emergency diplomacy is not about commercial pragmatism, but about the need to prevent conflicts between superpowers from leaving the world’s population even more vulnerable.
