Two weeks before Spain’s election, the conservative People’s Party (PP) widened its lead over the ruling Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE) but will still need the help of far-right Vox to govern, according to a poll published today .

In the poll conducted by the Ipsos company for the newspaper La Vanguardia from July 3 to 6 with the participation of 2,000 people, the PP appears to gather 35% of the vote and the PSOE 28%. Sumar — the new faction of the radical left that includes Podemos — would garner 13 percent, marginally higher than Vox’s 12.6 percent, as polled ahead of the July 23 election.

Based on forecasts, the PP would gather between 138 and 147 seats in the 350-member parliament, and the PSOE between 102 and 112 seats. Vox — the PP’s most likely coalition partner — would secure between 32 and 39 seats. Sumar was projected to win between 31 and 39 seats.

If the poll’s findings are verified, it will mean that a coalition of PP and Vox could garner even more than 180 seats, enough for an absolute majority.

Alternatively, the PP and Vox could together win 170 seats, a development that would give them more seats than an alliance of PSOE and Sumar, which the poll suggests would barely exceed 150.

National elections were called by Socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez following his party’s defeat in municipal and regional elections in May. All polls so far predict that the PP will garner the most votes in the election.