By Athena Papakosta

Can Donald Trump return to the White House? “Yes” answers the Reuters news agency and explains four reasons that can give the former president of the United States the victory in the country’s presidential elections in November 2024.

Donald Trump is already leading by a margin in the race for the Republican nomination. The distance that separates him from his opponents, Ron de Sandys and Nikki Haley, reaches even 50 points, according to the latest Ipsos poll, while, in terms of the pre-election battle against the Democratic incumbent, Joe Biden, according to according to a CNN poll, he has the upper hand in the crucial states of Georgia and Michigan.

first factor, who, according to the Reuters news agency, will play a decisive role in the upcoming elections in the country can only be the voters dissatisfied with the economy.

It is a fact that the White House trumpets that the American economy is in good shape. As he notes, unemployment in the United States is at a historic low of 3.9% compared to 6.3% under Trump, while inflation has slowed down from 9% last June to 3.2% in October .

Of course, there are many who disagree as they find that their wages are shrinking as their income does not keep up with the needs of everyday life threatened by bills and supermarket receipts.

At the same time, there are not a few who reportedly have more confidence in the Republicans’ ability to … deal with the economy and win – despite the fact that Donald Trump, in the run-up to the election, has offered only vague proposals on topic.

An additional reason that could ensure the victory of the former American president, according to the news agency, is the fact that he chooses to appeal to the emotions of the voters. It taps into Americans’ concerns and fears about crime and immigration. As Reuters explains, Donald Trump looks like both an arsonist and a firefighter of problems as on the one hand he talks about absolute chaos and on the other hand he presents himself as a savior to the American people.

A key factor remains the fact that while the Democratic Party, the mainstream media and many Republicans do not consider Donald Trump fit for re-election, millions of voters do not. And this, Reuters explains, because they judge that the leading candidate for the Republican nomination is the victim of a political witch hunt.

At the same time, blaming Biden himself for all the troubles – even for the fact that the White House under his administration has not managed to convince that his policies for example on clean energy have created new jobs can give him popularity points.

Indeed, while Joe Biden remains saddled with not one but two wars, faithfully following the traditional American model of foreign policy, American voters remain divided. According to Reuters, Trump’s “America First” slogan is resonating with those who do not want the United States to become more involved in either the ongoing war in Ukraine or Israel’s military operations in the Gaza Strip.

Is it a foregone conclusion that Trump will win? Of course not. But does it have a better chance compared to 2020? Yes.

However, analysts say his path to victory could be halted by his election as the Republican presidential nominee. As they explain, such a development is likely to lead independent voters or even moderate Republicans to the Democratic camp and to the polls to vote for Biden. Donald Trump needs both groups.

The fact that his incendiary rhetoric is getting stronger and stronger with him now openly talking about revenge on his political opponents or even a 24-hour dictatorship.

At the same time, the Democrats have a powerful weapon in their political quiver and this is none other than the decision of the Supreme Court of the country to suspend, in 2022, the constitutional guarantee of the right to abortion.

So far, they have invested in the pro-abortion right and have emerged as electoral winners with analysts expecting the issue to be a core of their 2024 campaign.

There are still 328 days left until the polls open and all indications are that it will be the Trump-Biden duo who will once again descend on the campaign arena with the US experiencing a similar deja vu from the 1950s.