The scenarios of invasion of Ukraine and the Cold War climate in US-Russia relations


The crisis in Ukraine has turned into a thriller for strong nerves US to consider it a matter of days before Russia’s attack and Moscow to insist on withdrawing troops from the Ukrainian border, despite the satellite images recording increased activity in the area.

For its part, the EU, whose leaders met extraordinarily in Brussels yesterday, through the Prime Minister of the Netherlands, Mark Rutte, announced that it has already ready package of sanctions to the detriment of Russia in the event of an invasion.

Following his speech Tuesday night, the US President, Joe Biden, yesterday returned with new statements, emphasizing that a Russian invasion of Ukraine is imminent. He noted that a “false flag” operation was under way, which Moscow would use as a pretext to attack the neighboring country.

“Every indication we have is that the Russians are ready to go to Ukraine, to attack Ukraine. “My view is that it will happen in the coming days,” he said, describing the threat as “very high.”

Respectively, the US Secretary of StateAnthony Blinken, who went to the United Nations headquarters yesterday to attend a Security Council meeting, warned that Russian forces were preparing to launch an attack on Ukraine “in the coming days”. In fact, he claimed that Russia was planning to create a pretext for invading the neighboring country. This could be a “violent event” for which Russia will blame Ukraine, a “terrorist attack on Russia” or even the alleged discovery of a mass grave, an organized drone strike against civilians, or even a real chemical weapons attack “.

“Our information clearly shows that Russian forces on the Ukrainian border, including ground forces and aircraft, are preparing to launch an attack on Ukraine in the coming days,” he said.

In fact, the head of the State Department described the scenario awaited by the US secret services, which speaks of “missile and bomb” strikes in Ukraine, cyber attacks on Ukrainian institutions – which have already taken place – and then the invasion of tanks and soldiers. key targets, even in the capital, Kiev.

He also revealed that he had sent a letter to his Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov, proposing that they meet in Europe next week, and also called on Moscow to state clearly and unequivocally that it would not invade Ukraine.

Moscow: Russian troops withdraw
For its part, Russia insists that Russian troops continue to return to their bases after completing exercises in areas adjacent to Ukraine.

In fact, the Russian government reiterates that it does not intend to invade Ukraine, while accusing the US that with the invasion scenarios that they are circulating, they are inciting tension in the region.

However, according to new satellite photos of Maxar that came to light, extensive military activity is recorded near the border with Ukraine.

Photographs taken in mid-February show Ukraine remaining surrounded on three sides – on both its borders with Russia and Belarus – by Russian tanks and troops.

Of particular concern is the fact that the Russians have even “set up” a hospital in the Osipovichi training area in northwestern Belarus.

Diplomatic war
At the same time, Moscow expressed dissatisfaction with the US stance on Moscow’s proposals for “security guarantees”, noting that the United States did not respond constructively and threatened that it might take “military-technical measures”.

“We declare that the American side did not give a constructive response to the key elements of the draft treaty with the United States prepared by the Russian side on security guarantees,” Moscow said in the document.

“If there is no readiness on the part of the United States to agree to firm, legally binding guarantees to ensure our security from the United States and its allies, Russia will be forced to respond, inter alia, by implementing military-technical measures.” , he underlined.

According to information, among the demands set by the Kremlin are:
• NATO to reject Ukraine’s accession
• North Atlantic Alliance to withdraw to 1997 lines, before expanding to the East
• Stop arms supplies to Ukraine
• Withdraw all foreign military advisers and trainers

Deportation of an American diplomat
And as tensions between the United States and Russia escalate, the US embassy in Russia has announced that US Deputy Chief of Mission Bart Gorban has been deported from the country, although the reasons for his deportation have not been made public.

“We can confirm that Russia has deported the Deputy Chief of Mission Bart Gorman, who was the second in the embassy hierarchy and a key member of its team,” the embassy said in a statement.

In fact, the US is considering retaliating by expelling a Russian diplomat.

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