The debate in the White House on the supply of Tomahawk rockets in Ukraine marks a radical overthrow in US politics as it will allow Kiev to deeply hit Russian territory and trigger serious retaliation from Moscow.
Although the messages emitted by the White House are confusing, in recent days the probability is beginning to increase.
US President Donald Trump is thinking of supplying Ukraine with Tomahawk rockets, according to Vice President Jay Di Vans. “We are discussing this issue at this time,” Vans told Fox News Sunday, adding that Trump would make the “final decision”.
Trump’s envoy to Ukraine, Keith Kloge, said the same day that he believes that Ukraine is authorized to hurt Russia deeply. “Use the ability to hurt deep,” he said. “There are no such things as shelters.”
Kloger later clarified his comments, saying he was referring only to the public statements of Vans and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and not to a new White House design.
These statements show that either Trump’s team is seriously considering the supply of Tomahawk, weapons suitable for distant attacks in Russia, or simply seeks to create the impression that he is thinking about it, CNN notes.
Forty -three days ago, Russian President Vladimir Putin was walking on the red carpet to “The Beast” in Alaska. But now the Kremlin is forced to react to the idea that the most effective US major rocket is going to be delivered to an opponent who, just seven months ago, said Trump said he “had no papers to play”.
Tomahawk, who became famous for the first time in the Gulf War in 1991, is intended for the narrower US allies, including the United Kingdom and Japan. Its four models reach the latest version, Block IV, which can transmit real -time information about the goals below, allowing changes in flight. The US will not supply weapons directly to Ukraine but will sell them to Europe so that it can promote them to Kiev. However, this will not reassure Moscow’s concerns that the Trump administration is significantly escalating and improving Ukraine’s capabilities on the front.
Ukraine President Volodimir Zelenski has talked little about the issue, which he described as “sensitive”. He knows that Ukraine has already used large range drones to hit Russian refineries to the extent that fuel shortages in the country are now a fact. It is obvious that Kiev can now be deeply affected in Russia – in areas where war was considered distant and where the consequences were mainly paid by the poor. They have shown that ingenuity can go beyond power and technology, using tiny containers hidden drones for attacks on Siberian airports at Spider Web. However, Tomahawk would be a new challenge for Russian anti -aircraft defenses. State buildings in Moscow and the majestic infrastructure of the Ministry of Defense could become open goals.
If the US is seeking to help Ukraine in this direction secretly, debris from the rockets will probably indicate the real culprit. It is unlikely that the US involvement will remain hidden and Moscow will try to answer the same way.
But two previous ones, maybe they can show how such a new escalation could end up. First: The Biden decision to allow the use of ATACMS by Kiev, in which Putin responded with the launch of the new “Oresnik” rocket in Dnipro.
This rocket was presented as a scary weapon – a new mid -range ballistic rocket, capable of bearing nuclear heads, which, when it was launched, brought multiple conventional heads, with the Kremlin playing that it could penetrate it. Ukrainian experts said it was a variant of the RS26 and report that there are old, worn valves in his circuit.
It did not seem to be a big technical leap or an impressive demonstration of power, but more of a nuclear condom communication demonstration, a response to scaling by the US. The lack of Russian resources after three and a half years of war may mean that the new reaction will be just as poor.
The second precedent is not positive for Ukraine. The last time the Trump administration threatened to escalate its stance, made it with secondary sanctions in India and China for Russian oil markets, a move much tougher than Biden had thought. Although 50% against India duties were imposed, Trump demanded that Europe stop the Russian hydrocarbons markets to move further and so far he has hesitated to proceed.
This may be the fate of the discussion about Tomahawk: When Trump seems to be coming close to a definitive decision, he finally tends to postpone the most devastating measures and maintain his friendship with Putin.
Source :Skai
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