The Russian commanders urgent for military success in Donbass, something that could cause new problems for the Russian forces after Mariupol, London notes.
Just Russia secure the occupation of Mariupol, will probably redeploy the forces there in Donbas, the UK Ministry of Defense announced in its last update on Friday morning, adding that due to the pressure received by the Russian commanders, they will probably do it “without sufficient preparation”. .
The fierce Ukrainian resistance in Mariupol since the start of the war means that Russian forces in the region must be rearmed and replenished before they can develop effectively. This can be a time consuming process when done carefully.
Latest Defense Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 20 May 2022
Find out more about the UK short response: https://t.co/AgtCk64rRw
🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/W938cA16hU
– Ministry of Defense 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) May 20, 2022
Russian commanders, however, are under pressure to demonstrate success in operational goals. This means that Russia will probably redeploy its forces quickly, without proper preparation, with the risk of further damage to the Russians.
The British Foreign Office said up to 1,700 Ukrainian fighters had been delivered in recent days to the Azovstal steel plant in Mariupol, with an unknown number still inside the vast complex.
In recent weeks senior commanders of Russian forces in Ukraine have been fired, as failures are blamed on the early stages of the invasion, the British Ministry of Defense said on Thursday.
Specifically, the lieutenant general Sergei Kessel, who was in charge of commanding the elite 1st Army Tank has been made available for the failure to occupy Kharkov.
The Admiral Igor Osipov, Commander of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, has also been removed from his duties after the sinking of the cruiser Moskva last month.
Reference is also made to the leader of the Russian armed forces, a general Valery Gerasimov, which, according to the ministry, probably remains in place, but it is not clear whether it retains the confidence of President Putin.
Finally, the scenarios for the continuation of the negotiations (which Ankara insists on for its own reasons) seem to be put by Kyiv through the adviser of Volodymyr Zelensky and a member of the Ukrainian delegation for the negotiations with Russia, Michael Pontoliak.
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