«THE epidemic curve appears to be in ascending phase. With what we know about her virus smallpox of monkeys however, we believe that it will not evolve rapidly. It is a phenomenon that we are closely monitoring, the diagnoses will increase in the coming days, but not at a worrying level. It does not have the dynamics that the coronavirus had and I do not think we will have a pandemic. I estimate that the intensity of the phenomenon will decrease in the next 15 days“, Told the Fm Agency the assistant professor of Epidemiology, clinical virologist and member of the Committee of Experts of the Ministry of Health Gikas Majorkiniswho at the same time declares himself moderately optimistic.
To the question of how the fact that they appear is explained scattered incidents without any contact or travel, Mr. Majorkinis replies that these are definitely transmissions within specific countries, such as in the United Kingdom where the cases have tripled in recent days. «There is no doubt that these are transmissions made within the borders. And from the history, (because it is a tracking process) it appears that there is a high probability that it was transmitted through very close contact». Concerning the because a virus familiar from the very distant past has now appeared, the well-known epidemiologist states that there is no answer. But he speculates that due to the pandemic limitation that the world had, it has greatly increased its social contacts and this may have contributed to this outbreak. «But it can also be opportunistic. That is, the virus entered some specific networks that are more social and did the so-called outbreak (ss explosion)».
The smallpox virus may be circulating for two years
On the scientific debate taking place in recent days, that can this virus must have appeared 2 years agoProfessor Majorkinis comments: «“This is a theory put forward by Belgian colleagues, who have read the genome of the virus from different patients, and based on the molecular imprint of these viruses, they estimate that it could circulate for a longer period of time than we see now.” KThe question that reasonably arises is whether such a theory is valid, how can it be possible, without having seen cases. “The incidents that are taking place at the moment they have a rash, but it is not so typical. Theoretically because the last two years the health system was depressed, there may have been cases with such rashes and attributed to other infectious diseases. This is the theory that has been discussed in recent days and I think it is worth seeing».
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