Two polls in Turkey show Kemal Kilicdaroglu ahead of Recep Tayyip Erdogan, three in the 24 hours before polls open in the neighboring country.

Specifically, a poll by the Konda Institute released today shows the Turkish president trailing his main rival, Kilicdaroglu, by more than five percentage points ahead of next Sunday’s presidential election.

The poll shows Erdoğan securing the voter intention 43.7% and Kilicdaroglu 49.3%thus denying him the required majority needed to win from the first round and leaving open the possibility of a runoff between the two candidates on May 29.

In addition, earlier today the correspondent of SKAI in Istanbul, Manolis Kostidis, broadcast a poll by the Metropoll company.

In this poll The Kemal Kilicdaroglu seems to receive on the first Sunday, 49.1%while o Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan takes rate of 46.9%.

As Manolis Kostidis mentioned, it seems that there is a tendency to increase the difference in favor of Kilicdaroglu, but Erdogan’s percentages are also increasing. This means that the percentages of small parties are decreasing.

Regarding the predictions for the 2nd Sunday, 51.3% receives the Kilicdaroglu and 48.7% Erdogan.

The electoral process

Turkey follows a system of proportional representation according to which the 600 seats of the Grand National Assembly are allocated to each party in proportion to the number of votes it receives. In order to enter the Turkish Parliament, the parties must gather at least 7% of the votes.

As far as the presidential polls are concerned, the most popular candidates are two. On one side is the current president of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan and on the other side is Kemal Kilicdaroglu.

The winner will be whoever gets 50%+1 of the votes in the first round. If no one can gather the required majority then Turkey will go to a second round which will be held, for the position of the president only, on Sunday 28 May.

Polls in the neighborhood will open at 8 local time and close at five in the afternoon. The election results are not expected earlier than nine in the evening.

The faces

Beyond the 69-year-old Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the 74-year-old Kemal Kilicdaroglu still exist two candidates who “go down” in the presidential race.

The first is called Muharrem Inzte, and according to pollsters and analysts, it spoils Kilicdaroglu’s plans for an election from the first Sunday because it cuts his votes and may cause the electoral contest to go to the second round. And this is because he leads the newly founded Homeland Party, Memleket, while he was a presidential candidate of the People’s Republican Party (CHP), which is now led by Kilicdaroglu.

The “frame” is completed by Sinan Ogan who comes from the Nationalist Action Party, MHP and finds support in smaller nationalist parties. In the very likely case of the second round, the voters of Ogan will move – if they go to the polls – and will affect the election result. Together with Ince, they remain too weak electorally to threaten Erdogan and Kilicdaroglu