Euroleague: The chances of Olympiacos and Panathinaikos for Final 4 and to lift it up

The normal period of Euroleague It is coming to an end and the battle continues. The Figurei8ht page used the mathematics to see the chances of each team’s setting in the four, six and tenths, as well as the chances of reaching Final 4 and winning the title. For this to happen, 10,000 simulations have been made with data from the course of the teams in the last two years and their defense and attack per 100 possessions.

THE Olympic are in 100% of simulations in the first four of the normal period while the Panathinaikos at 96.1% and the Fenerbahce at 98.6%. Beyond that most of the chances are the Monaco For the advantage, with 42.2%.

By the rest of the groups, the Barcelona With 49.5% it has the highest presence rate in the first sixth of the regular season and follows with 40.3% Bayern.

?? Projection to El Playoffs/Play-in As of Round 29 @Euroleague

Simulation by @g_giase With 10k Runs Based on:
; Elo Rankings (Past 2 Seasons)
; Net Advanced Rating (Current Season)

Top 4 (Seeded PO)
?? Olympiacos ????, fenerbahce ????, panathinaikos ???? with> 95% chance to… pic.twitter.com/rymw19nuvz

– figurei8ht (@figurei8ht) March 16, 2025

As for the chances of being found in Final 4the Olympic has the largest percentage with 81%, with the Panathinaic follow with 69%. The “reds” in 50% of simulations reach the final and get the mug in 30%, while the Greens in 38% go to the final and 19% again win the title. Tuesday in chances of conquering 13% is the Fenerbahce and fourth with 10% or Monaco.

?? Final Four Chances @Euroleague | Round 29

81% ???? Olympiacos
69% ???? Panathinaikos
62% ???? Fenerbahce
44% ???? Monaco
31% ???? Barcelona
21% ???? Real Madrid
20% ???? Partizan
No other team with> 20%

?? Olympiacos lead as title Favorites with 30% chance.

Simulation by… pic.twitter.com/4bineyymkm

– figurei8ht (@figurei8ht) March 16, 2025