The poll by the IPEC institute — formerly IBOPE — has 76-year-old Lula garnering 47% of voter intentions, compared to 31% for 67-year-old Jair Bolsonaro, ahead of the Oct. 2 first round.
Brazil’s center-left former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, a presidential candidate, has narrowly extended his lead over far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro with less than two weeks to go to the polls in Latin America’s largest nation, indicated a rolling poll, the findings of which were released on Monday.
The poll by the IPEC institute — formerly IBOPE — has 76-year-old Lula garnering 47% of voter intentions, compared to 31% for 67-year-old Jair Bolsonaro, ahead of the Oct. 2 first round. Their percentages were respectively 46 and 31% in the institute’s immediately preceding survey.
In a possible runoff on Oct. 30, if neither candidate gets the 50 percent plus one vote needed for an outright victory, Lula will be elected with 54 percent of the vote to Jair Bolsonaro’s 35 percent, according to the same research. This difference of 19 points is increased compared to the immediately previous survey (+2%).
The institute also found that the percentage of Brazilians who approve of the outgoing president’s work remained unchanged at 30%, despite the promotion of social programs and measures to tackle inflation. On the contrary, the percentage of citizens who disapprove of his performance in the presidency increased to 47% (+2).
The IPEC poll was conducted using personal interviews on a representative sample of 3,008 voters from 17 to 18 September. The margin of statistical error is ±2%.
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