Donald Trump’s probability of victory, now at a percentage of 91%, with 301 electors, compared to 237 of Kamala Harris, is given by the New York Times newspaper in its electoral “needle”. At least 270 electoral votes are needed to elect a president in the US elections.

Donald Trump won North Carolina and is very likely to take Georgia as well. To win, Harris needs to win Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, but Trump has the advantage in all three states, the paper said.

The picture in the seven ambiguous states so far

The following is the picture of the seven contested states (swing states), which are considered to decide the election result, at approximately 06:05 Greek time.

In Georgia, with 70.5% of the vote counted, Trump leads with 51.1% to Harris’ 47.9%.

In Pennsylvania, with 67.4% of the vote counted, Trump leads with 51% to Harris’ 48%.

In North Carolina, with 86.3% of the vote counted, Trump leads with 50.9% to Harris’ 48%.

In Wisconsin, with 59.8% of the vote counted, Trump leads with 50.3% to Kamala’s 48.2%.

In Arizona, with 49.8% of the vote counted, Trump narrowly leads Harris with 49.7% to 49.5%.

In Michigan, with 26.5% of the vote counted, Donald Trump now leads with 51.1% to Trump’s 47.3%.

Counting in both Nevada and Nebraska is still too early to make any predictions.

US Elections: There is no clear picture in the critical states

Trump’s chances of victory are increasing

On the Polymarket platform, the probability that Trump will win the state of Georgia, which has 16 electors, has increased from 68% to 79% in the past two hours. Also, the probability that he will win Pennsylvania, which has 19 electors, has also increased from 54% to 58%.

Polymarket in the last hour increased the probability of Donald Trump’s election to 70% from 58%.