By Antonis Anzoletos
From 9 in the morning Greek time the French will start coming to the polls to elect their new president. Will repeat Emanuel Macron the feat of Jacques Chirac to be elected for a second consecutive term or the Marin Lepen is she hiding an ace up her sleeve? At 9 pm (Greek time always) when it closes and the last ballot box will be published exit poll and French television is expected to announce the expected winner. It may take another hour for the image to clear completely. In any case the difference between the two will judge the time required for a safe result. All predictions are still in favor of the outgoing president. At his headquarters, set up in the Eiffel Tower at the “Champ de Mars”, everything is ready.
Because the French traditionally do not go to the polls in the morning, Estimates for attendance will be secure in the afternoon. The 45-year-old leader of “En Marche!” Wants to win the bet of the undecided!“ without this being an easy affair. He has a five year behind him, from which the small and middle class has many complaints. Macron managed to turn the game around in the second round, as he became more involved with the daily life of the citizens. The purchasing power of the French has fallen sharply and this has angered society. That’s why no one in Paris is talking about repeating it “election campaign “ which he had done in the second round in 2017 with 66.1%.
Macron’s strong support in recent days from top leaders has shown that Europe is concerned about an “accident”. It was not uncommon in a national presidential election for three socialist European leaders to jointly speak at Le Monde: German Olaf Solz, Spain’s Pedro Sanchez and Portugal’s Antonio Costa. The last thing the EU needs right now is a “slap” from France that would cause a lot of upheaval. It’s certain the interpretation of a possible predominance of the far right candidate would be given on the basis of the accumulated discomfort which exists from many issues handled by Brussels in recent years. Even if the Recovery Fund or the Ukrainian showed that the Commission’s reflexes are constantly improving.
BVA’s latest weekly survey gives to Emanuel Macron an 11-point lead. It records a percentage of 55.5% against 44.5% of Marin Lepen. Its voters “Unruly France“, By Jean-Luc Melanson, it seems that about 35% -40% will go to the polls to support Macron. More than 40% will prefer abstention, while Lepen is expected to move in the 15% zone in terms of voters in the third round of the first round. This bridge between the left and the extreme right can be interpreted in various ways. This is an anti-systemic vote that had taken refuge in Melanson and it is not so easy to decipher its characteristics. From “Yellow VestsTo some vaccinators or even pro-Russians who have not found their own political home.
From the moment there will be a result the French Constitutional Council has up to 10 days to announce the official final verdict of the ballot box. All this time is not expected to run out.
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