Tzanakis: The indicator that will judge the lockdown – High number of dead by Christmas

1,500 to 1,800 dead from coronavirus in our country by Christmas, his models “show” Professor of Pulmonology Nikos Tzanakis.

Speaking on SKAI TV and the show “Unmatched” he stressed that in the next two to three weeks, almost until December 25, the daily deaths will continue to move in high double digits, between 79 and 95. The number of days was not excluded. of the dead to be three digits.

Mr. Tzanakis stressed that although the epidemiological burden in our country is very high, he is optimistic that there is no further increase and there is a horizontalization of the curve. He added, however, that it is certain that there will be dead and intubated as the epidemiological burden is very high.

The indicator that will determine if a lockdown will be needed

“The lockdown is always in the back of our heads”, admitted Mr. Tzanakis, adding, however, that until the situation reaches the point of no return, there are many other measures that can be applied and of course what already applies must be observed.

Asked which indicator will determine if the situation reaches the point of no return, the professor stressed that if the daily admissions to hospitals exceed 550, groundbreaking decisions will be needed, but “we abstain from this”. According to the professor, there are now an average of 440 admissions per day. As Mr. Tzanakis explained, with 600 and 700 new hospitalizations, the numbers of intubated patients will be difficult to manage without the decisive contribution of the private sector.

Every 1,000 cases lead to 10 deaths and up to 70 intubations

From every thousand additional cases of coronavirus, he added, 10 dead are expected and an additional 50 to 70 intubated patients, something that was confirmed when our country reached from 30 dead to 90 when the cases from 2,000 rose to 7,000.