Washington Post: The three scenarios for ending the war in Ukraine that the Biden administration is considering

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Differing views in Washington about the concessions, which Kyiv could theoretically make. The Zelensky “scenario” and the two “moderate” towards Russia scenarios

In Washington they are discussing three different scenarios for how the russoukrainian war, and each of them has supporters in the Biden administration, writes the Washington Post newspaper in its article (“Amid a show of unity, Zelensky and Biden differ on some war needs”) on the topic of discussions taking place in the White House in light of the visit in the United States of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

Devotees of all three models support Ukraine in its war with Russia. However, they have different opinions about the concessions, which Kyiv could theoretically make. As one of the newspaper’s sources, an unnamed senior administration official, told the Washington Post, Washington’s official position remains that the decision on talks with Russia and its possible position in them must be made by him. Ukraine itself and not the United States. Nevertheless, the US can convey its opinion to Kyiv.

The three scenarios in detail

The “script” Zelensky

The first of the three scenarios actually corresponds to the peace plan proposed by President Zelensky, which calls for the withdrawal of Russian troops from all of Ukraine’s internationally recognized territories, including Crimea, which was annexed in 2014.

The two “moderate” scenarios against Russia

The second scenario calls for Russian troops to withdraw from their positions before February 24, the day the full-scale invasion began, which would mean leaving Crimea and part of the Donbas under Russian control.

The third scenario envisages all the territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, as well as other occupied territories, but not Crimea, coming under Ukrainian control. It is assumed that in this case the issue of Crimea, and possibly part of Donbas, would be resolved through negotiations.

Zelensky’s denial

However, Zelensky has repeatedly stated that the latter two sentences are not acceptable for Ukraine. However, as the Washington Post writes, “during their face-to-face meeting on Wednesday, Biden asked for Zelensky’s “current thoughts on what that should look like,” the senior official said, while acknowledging that “it was a kind of academic discussion at this point,” since there is no indication that Russia is interested in talking.”

A source of the newspaper emphasized that it was a strictly theoretical discussion, because Russia has not yet declared that it is ready to withdraw its troops to the positions before February 24. Officially, the Kremlin considers Crimea and the four Ukrainian regions it annexed in October to be part of Russia (note that Russian troops fully control only Crimea, while the territories of the other territories partially).

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